Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Górnik (Polkowice)


	Polkowice		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	4.00	4.00	1.61
	5.30	4.50	1.42
	4.29	4.20	1.62
	4.57	4.2	1.59
	3.65	3.90	1.66
	3.75	4.52	1.72	Watch
	4.30	4.10	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (5.3)	4.2 ↑ (4.1)	1.6 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polkowice
21.3%

Draw
21.7%

Polonia Warsaw
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

21.6%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

21%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polkowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polkowice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polkowice - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Furtak M. (G) 26. Rymaniak B. 4. Bogacz M. 6. Kowalski-Haberek M. 24. Strzelecki K. 14. Zynek B. 8. Soszynski L. 30. Jozwiak M. 7. Nagrodzki M. 23. Skrzypczak S. 10. Baranowski F.	72. Sandach A. (G) 22. Olszewski P. (C) 16. Budnicki J. 15. Golos A. 20. Olafsson D. 10. Mroz M. 8. Wojciechowski O. 94. Paszkowski J. 7. Vega D. 9. Kostorz K. 27. Kowalczyk S.
Substitutes
61. Chudek M. 21. Fink J. 77. Kotala K. 22. Leopold O. 3. Marcinkiewicz K. 16. Marszalik K. 5. Stawny M. 11. Surozynski M. 33. Wernicki W. (G)	17. Dadok R. 99. Durmus I. 6. Gnaase D. 71. Jelen M. (G) 21. Kapusta A. 2. Kuusk M. 23. Skrabb S. 26. Tabara K. 24. Terpilowski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Kowalczyk S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Kowalski-Haberek M. 🟨,
52', Paszkowski J. 🟨,
59', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
59', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Gnaase D. ↑,
66', Strzelecki K. ↓, Marszalik K. ↑,
68', Mroz M. ↓, Skrabb S. ↑,
68', Vega D. ↓, Durmus I. ↑,
80', Kostorz K. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
80', Baranowski F. ↓, Surozynski M. ↑,
80', Skrzypczak S. ↓, Leopold O. ↑,
80', Jozwiak M. ↓, Kotala K. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Dadok R. ⚽,
90+3', Gnaase D. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Polkowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Polonia is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Polkowice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Polkowice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
29.08.26	ROW Rybnik - Polkowice	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Polkowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polkowice	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Polkowice - Miedź Legnica 2	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Kluczbork - Polkowice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTTL
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
29.08.26	Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk	2:4 ✺
22.08.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Polonia Warsaw - Unia Skierniewice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
26.05.23	Polkowice - Polonia Warsaw	2:0
21.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - Polkowice	3:0

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