The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tudelano 33.4%
Draw 29.4%
UD Logroñés 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
28.6%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
27.7%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tudelano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Tudelano - UD Logroñés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Konate T. (Own goal),
34', 1 - 1, Camacho S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
88', Santigosa D. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 1.
Tudelano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Logroñés is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Logroñés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Tudelano won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Tudelano
5
2
1
2
7:6
1
7
Last Results with these Odds
Tudelano - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.37%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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