Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 24

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV, Footballclub


	Tudelano		Utebo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.35	3.9
	1.86	3.28	4.1
	1.74	3.47	4.43	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.78	3.28	4.33
	2.05	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.98)	3.31 ↓ (3.53)	4.04 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tudelano
49.7%

Draw
27.6%

Utebo
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tudelano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Tudelano - Utebo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tudelano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', Marin D. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Tudelano is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tudelano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tudelano	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7
12	Utebo FC	5	1	3	1	5:5	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Tudelano - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Utebo - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.47%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tudelano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.02.26	Náxara - Tudelano	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Tudelano - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Eibar B - Tudelano	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Tudelano - Sestao	5:1 ✺
18.01.26	Mutilvera - Tudelano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLWW
- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.02.26	Utebo - Alfaro	4:1 ✺
08.02.26	Basconia - Utebo	4:0 ✺
01.02.26	Utebo - Náxara	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Amorebieta - Utebo	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Beasain - Utebo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.09.25	Utebo - Tudelano	3:1
06.04.25	Tudelano - Utebo	1:1
24.11.24	Utebo - Tudelano	0:0
25.02.24	Tudelano - Utebo	0:0
15.10.23	Utebo - Tudelano	2:2
05.02.23	Utebo - Tudelano	1:1
18.09.22	Tudelano - Utebo	1:0

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