Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Basconia		Vitoria

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	1.8
	3.96	3.23	1.86
	3.96	3.23	1.82
	4.32	3.26	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.09)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	1.82 (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basconia
22.4%

Draw
28%

Vitoria
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

27.4%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basconia won 3.

Basconia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vitoria in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Basconia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vitoria is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Basconia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Basconia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.03.24	Pasaia - Basconia	0:4 ✺
03.03.24	Basconia - Padura	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Touring KE - Basconia	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Basconia - San Ignacio	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Beasain - Basconia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWT
- CD Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.03.24	Vitoria - Añorga	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Alavés C - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Vitoria - Deusto	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Leioa - Vitoria	0:3 ✺
10.02.24	Vitoria - Durango	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Vitoria - Basconia	1:1
05.03.23	Vitoria - Basconia	1:2
29.10.22	Basconia - Vitoria	1:0
06.03.22	Basconia - Vitoria	1:2
30.10.21	Vitoria - Basconia	0:2
28.10.20	Basconia - Vitoria	0:2
09.02.20	Vitoria - Basconia	3:0

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