Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Touring KE		Basconia

	1	X	2
	8	5.4	1.26
	7.04	5.12	1.3
	7.54	5.5	1.29	Watch
	7.65	5.55	1.27
	8	5.4	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.65 ↑ (5.73)	5.39 ↑ (3.92)	1.28 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Touring KE
11.9%

Draw
16.9%

Basconia
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

23.1%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

22.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Touring KE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basconia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Touring KE than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basconia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Bernal I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, ⚽,
83', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Touring has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Basconia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Basconia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Touring won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Touring won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Touring KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.05.25	Leioa - Touring KE	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Touring KE - Aretxabaleta	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	San Viator - Touring KE	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Touring KE - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Eibar C - Touring KE	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWLT
- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.05.25	Basconia - Deusto	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Durango - Basconia	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Basconia - Urduliz	8:0 ✺
06.04.25	Basconia - Alavés C	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Derio - Basconia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.01.25	Basconia - Touring KE	2:2
24.02.24	Touring KE - Basconia	1:1
07.10.23	Basconia - Touring KE	2:3
21.01.23	Basconia - Touring KE	1:1

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