Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday


	Basford United		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.9	3.2	3.3
	1.89	3.4	3.5
	1.89	3.68	3.77
	1.87	3.56	3.6
	1.87	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.77)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	3.56 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
48.2%

Draw
26.3%

Hednesford Town
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27.1%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Basford United - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Basford is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hednesford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Basford is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Basford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English FA Cup
04.10.22	Boston United - Basford United	3:4 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
27.09.22	Basford United - Stourbridge	2:1 ✺
24.09.22	Bromsgrove Sporting - Basford United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Basford United - Rugby Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
13.09.22	Tamworth - Basford United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTWL
- Hednesford Town
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Rushall Olympic - Hednesford Town	3:4 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
01.10.22	Hednesford Town - Rushden & Diamonds	5:0 ✺
27.09.22	Hednesford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:3 ✺
24.09.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	3:2 ✺
13.09.22	Alvechurch - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.09.20	Hednesford Town - Basford United	1:1
English NPL Premier Division
19.01.19	Hednesford Town - Basford United	3:1
20.08.18	Basford United - Hednesford Town	1:2

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