Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Basingstoke Town		Beaconsfield Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	2.85
	2.05	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.06	4.26	2.85
	2.06	4.27	2.85
	2.04	3.84	2.85
	2.05	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.7)	3.91 ↑ (3.54)	2.87 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
44.7%

Draw
23.4%

Beaconsfield Town
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

24.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basingstoke Town's form might have worsened.

Beaconsfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beaconsfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basingstoke Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beaconsfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Basingstoke Town - Beaconsfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 15).

Basingstoke has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Beaconsfield is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Beaconsfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Basingstoke will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Basingstoke won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Basingstoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
05.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Sholing	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Chesham United - Basingstoke Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Chippenham Town - Basingstoke Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
11.11.23	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL
- Beaconsfield Town
English Southern League South Division
25.11.23	Beaconsfield Town - Totton	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Bath City - Beaconsfield Town	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
14.11.23	Beaconsfield Town - Harrow Borough	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Beaconsfield Town - Winchester City	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Beaconsfield Town - Poole Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.09.23	Beaconsfield Town - Basingstoke Town	2:3
29.12.18	Beaconsfield Town - Basingstoke Town	3:2
14.08.18	Basingstoke Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:1

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