Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Beaconsfield Town		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.1	1.58
	3.89	4.72	1.64
	3.89	4.72	1.65
	4.15	4.2	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (1.82)	4.44 ↑ (3.75)	1.62 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beaconsfield Town
22.8%

Draw
20.6%

Poole Town
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

24.3%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beaconsfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beaconsfield Town's form might have worsened.

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poole Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (+27.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beaconsfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-30.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poole Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Beaconsfield Town - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beaconsfield won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Poole could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Poole is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Beaconsfield won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Beaconsfield won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beaconsfield Town
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Harrow Borough - Beaconsfield Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Walton & Hersham - Beaconsfield Town	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Beaconsfield Town - Didcot Town	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Beaconsfield Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWW
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Hungerford Town - Poole Town	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Poole Town - Chesham United	2:5 ✺
17.10.23	Poole Town - Tiverton Town	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Basingstoke Town - Poole Town	4:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Poole Town - Sholing	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.02.23	Poole Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:2
01.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Poole Town	0:2
11.12.21	Beaconsfield Town - Poole Town	2:1
02.10.21	Poole Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:0
19.09.20	Beaconsfield Town - Poole Town	1:2
10.03.20	Poole Town - Beaconsfield Town	3:1
22.02.20	Beaconsfield Town - Poole Town	2:1

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