Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Basingstoke Town		Didcot Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6.75
	1.33	5	7
	1.34	5.76	6.27
	1.34	5.76	6.27
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.32	5.1	6.75
	1.33	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.53)	5.08 ↑ (4.3)	6.65 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
68.3%

Draw
18%

Didcot Town
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

21.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

20.5%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basingstoke Town's performance.

Didcot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Didcot Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basingstoke Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Didcot Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Didcot Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Basingstoke Town - Didcot Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Basingstoke is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Basingstoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
16.12.23	Harrow Borough - Basingstoke Town	4:2 ✺
09.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Beaconsfield Town	1:1 ✺
05.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Sholing	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Chesham United - Basingstoke Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTLL
- Didcot Town
English Southern League South Division
16.12.23	Didcot Town - Tiverton Town	0:0 ✺
12.12.23	Hendon - Didcot Town	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Gosport Borough - Didcot Town	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	Didcot Town - Poole Town	0:7 ✺
28.10.23	Didcot Town - Sholing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.08.23	Didcot Town - Basingstoke Town	2:3

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