Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Harrow Borough		Basingstoke Town

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.7	2.25
	2.58	3.94	2.31
	2.58	3.94	2.32
	2.54	3.72	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)	3.83 ↑ (3.72)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrow Borough
36.2%

Draw
23.9%

Basingstoke Town
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

24.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

24%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrow Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Harrow Borough - Basingstoke Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Harrow has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Basingstoke is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Harrow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrow won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrow won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
25.11.23	Hungerford Town - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Harrow Borough - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
14.11.23	Beaconsfield Town - Harrow Borough	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Tiverton Town - Harrow Borough	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Harrow Borough - Salisbury	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
09.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Beaconsfield Town	1:1 ✺
05.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Sholing	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Chesham United - Basingstoke Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Chippenham Town - Basingstoke Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
19.08.23	Basingstoke Town - Harrow Borough	5:0
26.01.19	Basingstoke Town - Harrow Borough	2:2
20.11.18	Harrow Borough - Basingstoke Town	2:1
English FA Cup
28.10.14	Harrow Borough - Basingstoke Town	1:4 ET
25.10.14	Basingstoke Town - Harrow Borough	1:1

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