Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Basingstoke Town		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.4	2.8
	2.16	3.45	2.95
	2.2	3.65	2.94	Watch
	2.13	3.4	2.9
	2.11	3.4	2.93
	2.15	3.55	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)	3.48 ↓ (3.7)	2.9 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
42.4%

Draw
26.2%

Gosport Borough
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

24.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

23.8%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Wiltshire J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 1 - 1, Okine-Peters J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 15th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basingstoke won 2.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Basingstoke is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Basingstoke has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:31 (averaging 1.9:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Basingstoke against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:11 goals (averaging 1.5:1.1 per game).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Basingstoke: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Gosport	10	3	3	4	13:13	0	12
17	Basingstoke	9	2	3	4	14:16	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Basingstoke Town - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.43%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Gosport Borough - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.99%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Gloucester City - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Basingstoke Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	4:3 ✺
22.08.26	Basingstoke Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWLWW
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Sholing - Gosport Borough	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gosport Borough - Malvern Town	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Frome Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Gosport Borough - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.02.26	Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough	0:3
18.10.25	Gosport Borough - Basingstoke Town	3:4
05.04.25	Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough	0:1
24.08.24	Gosport Borough - Basingstoke Town	3:3
29.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough	3:0
16.08.23	Gosport Borough - Basingstoke Town	4:1
26.12.18	Gosport Borough - Basingstoke Town	3:2

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