Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 34

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Chertsey Town		Basingstoke Town

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.8	3.55	3.65
	1.68	3.87	4.31
	1.85	3.81	3.77	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4
	1.74	4.06	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.67)	3.68 ↓ (3.84)	3.93 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
52%

Draw
24.8%

Basingstoke Town
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

23.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

23%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Chertsey Town - Basingstoke Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Wilson ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
64', 1 - 1, Clark J. (Penalty Awarded),
84', 2 - 1, McCoy O. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Minhas N. ⚽,
88', 4 - 1, Wilson ⚽,
90+8', 4 - 2, Blake T. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 15).

Chertsey is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Basingstoke has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chertsey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chertsey is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chertsey won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Chertsey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chertsey	9	4	2	3	20:15	5	14
17	Basingstoke	9	2	3	4	14:16	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
03.03.26	Chertsey Town - Dorchester Town	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Bracknell Town - Chertsey Town	2:4 ✺
14.02.26	Chertsey Town - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Gosport Borough - Chertsey Town	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Evesham United - Chertsey Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTTT
- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
28.02.26	Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Walton & Hersham - Basingstoke Town	5:2 ✺
14.02.26	Basingstoke Town - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Chertsey Town	2:1
08.03.25	Basingstoke Town - Chertsey Town	1:3
12.11.24	Chertsey Town - Basingstoke Town	3:0

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