Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 28

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Stade Louis Dugauguez (Sedan)


	Sedan		Nancy

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.9	2.3
	2.8	2.9	2.43
	3.2	2.89	2.6
	2.9	2.88	2.38
	2.92	3.05	2.47	Watch
	2.95	3	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.45)	2.94 ↓ (3)	2.42 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sedan
31.1%

Draw
31.1%

Nancy
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

30.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

32.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sedan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sedan's form might have worsened.

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sedan than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sedan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nancy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Sedan - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nancy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nancy have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sedan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sedan
French Ligue 3
03.04.23	Concarneau - Sedan	0:1 ✺
24.03.23	Sedan - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
17.03.23	Orleans - Sedan	2:2 ✺
10.03.23	Sedan - Bourg-Péronnas	0:0 ✺
03.03.23	Le Puy - Sedan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTTL
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 3
01.04.23	Nancy - Villefranche	3:2 ✺
28.03.23	Nancy - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
17.03.23	Nancy - Châteauroux	0:1 ✺
10.03.23	Cholet - Nancy	1:1 ✺
03.03.23	Nancy - Versailles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
14.11.22	Nancy - Sedan	0:0
Club Friendly
18.07.12	Sedan - Nancy	N/A

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