Match Info

First League - Round 9

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Batyr Ekibastuz		Arys

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.15	4.15
	1.5	4.33	5.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)	4.24 ↑ (4.14)	4.66 ↓ (4.87)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Batyr Ekibastuz
59%

Draw
21.4%

Arys
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

22.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Batyr Ekibastuz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Arys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Batyr Ekibastuz than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arys than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
89', Malikov B. 🟥,
90+1', 1 - 0, Aitpakayev A. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Batyr won 3.

Batyr has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arys's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Batyr is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Batyr won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Batyr won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	FC Batyr	23	7	5	11	31:53	-22	26
11	Arys	23	7	3	13	29:43	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Batyr Ekibastuz
Kazakh First League
27.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Batyr Ekibastuz	4:0 ✺
21.05.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Akademiya Ontustik	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Jaiyq - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Aktobe 2	1:1 ✺
30.04.26	Yelimay 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWTW
- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
26.05.26	Arys - Kairat 2	0:3 ✺
22.05.26	Taraz - Arys	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Arys - Khan Tengri	0:1 ✺
07.05.26	Tobol 2 - Arys	4:3 ✺
30.04.26	Arys - Astana 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
30.08.24	Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:2
05.07.24	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	3:0
24.10.23	Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:1
13.07.23	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	3:0
22.10.20	Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz	2:2
24.09.20	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	1:1

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