Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, NWSL+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Bay FC		Chicago Stars

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.05	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.2	6.02
	1.52	4.13	5.89	Watch
	1.5	3.7	5.5
	1.46	4.1	5.81	Watch
	1.77	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.77)	3.91 ↑ (3.25)	5.49 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bay FC
59.8%

Draw
23.5%

Chicago Stars
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

24.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bay FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bay FC's performance.

Chicago Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bay FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bay FC - Chicago Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Silkowitz J. (G) 16. Collins S. (C) 21. Cometti A. 18. Anderson J. 24. Moreau M. 41. Bebar H. 8. Hutton C. 7. Huff T. 10. Girelli C. 23. Conti C. 5. Lema K.	27. Atkinson K. (G) 6. Hendrich K. (C) 3. Staab S. 25. Farmer A. 77. Lopez Millan M. 10. Pinto B. A. 8. Joseph J. 7. Grosso J. 11. Gomes N. 99. Huitema J. 24. Gareis R.
Substitutes
32. Allen E. (G) 19. Bailey D. 27. Barry K. 12. Boade T. 22. Courtnall B. 6. Gamero O. 11. Hubly K. 9. Kundananji R. 14. Shepherd J.	4. Bike J. 18. Chacon I. 15. Evans E. 16. Hayashi M. 23. Johnson M. 22. Mackiewicz H. (G) 13. Nesbeth L. 9. Swanson M.
Coaches
Coates E.	Sjogren M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Cometti A. 🟥,
32', Hutton C. 🟨,
45', Gomes N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lema K. ↓, Kundananji R. ↑,
46', Joseph J. ↓, Swanson M. ↑,
62', Silkowitz J. 🟥,
65', Girelli C. ↓, Allen E. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Swanson M. ⚽, Lopez Millan M. (A),
75', Anderson J. ↓, Hubly K. ↑,
75', Huff T. ↓, Bailey D. ↑,
80', Gomes N. ↓, Bike J. ↑,
80', Pinto B. A. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
85', Conti C. ↓, Barry K. ↑,
88', Hayashi M. 🟨,
90', Moreau M. 🟨,
90+2', Swanson M. ↓, Chacon I. ↑,
90+5', Atkinson K. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16).

Bay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chicago's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bay is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Bay FC W	27	7	5	15	28:42	-14	26
16	Chicago W	27	5	2	20	15:63	-48	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bay FC
NWSL
20.05.26	Portland Thorns - Bay FC	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Bay FC - Boston Legacy	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Bay FC - Utah Royals	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	San Diego Wave - Bay FC	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	NJ NY Gotham - Bay FC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTTWL
- Chicago Stars
NWSL
16.05.26	North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars	4:0 ✺
10.05.26	Kansas City Current - Chicago Stars	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Chicago Stars - NJ NY Gotham	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Chicago Stars - Boston Legacy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
10.08.25	Chicago Stars - Bay FC	1:1
13.04.25	Bay FC - Chicago Stars	1:2
08.06.24	Chicago Stars - Bay FC	1:2
05.05.24	Bay FC - Chicago Stars	1:2

Bay FC - Chicago Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide