Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	NWSL+


	Bay FC		Houston Dash

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	2.07	3.30	3.00
	2.10	3.61	3.14
	2.1	3.72	3.08	Watch
	2.07	3.55	3.00
	2.00	3.54	3.14	Watch
	2.05	3.40	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.72)	3.5 ↓ (3.65)	3.09 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bay FC
44.4%

Draw
26%

Houston Dash
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.7%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

26.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bay FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bay FC's form might have worsened.

Houston Dash has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Houston Dash's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bay FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dash than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Houston Dash, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bay FC - Houston Dash Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Silkowitz J. (G) 16. Collins S. (C) 2. Gilchrist H. 18. Anderson J. 31. Nighswonger J. 47. Fuller K. 41. Bebar H. 8. Hutton C. 7. Huff T. 5. Lema K. 17. Pfeiffer A.	1. Campbell J. (C) 15. Patterson A. 8. Bain N. M. 4. Klenke L. 2. Chapman A. 24. Colaprico D. 19. Graham M. 12. van Zanten K. 22. Rader K. 30. Ullmark L. 23. Faasse K.
Substitutes
19. Bailey D. 27. Barry K. 23. Conti C. 13. Dahlkemper A. 10. Girelli C. 30. Holzheier A. 11. Hubly K. 1. Miller C. (G) 24. Moreau M.	21. Beall H. E. (G) 27. Boattin L. 6. Bright M. 40. Delisle C. (G) 18. Hardin C. 34. Harper K. 47. Ivanovic M. 9. Larisey C. 14. Nielsen P. K.
Coaches
Coates E.	Gautrat F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Chapman A. ↓, Boattin L. ↑,
60', van Zanten K. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
62', Pfeiffer A. ↓, Girelli C. ↑,
73', Faasse K. ↓, Larisey C. ↑,
73', Ullmark L. ↓, Harper K. ↑,
75', Lema K. ↓, Barry K. ↑,
75', Huff T. ↓, Conti C. ↑,
84', Collins S. 🟨,
86', Nighswonger J. ↓, Moreau M. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Girelli C. ⚽,
90', Colaprico D. ↓, Bright M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).

Bay has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Houston Dash is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Houston Dash may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Houston Dash has had a series of home games.

Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bay won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Houston Dash W	27	8	6	13	34:39	-5	30
14	Bay FC W	27	7	5	15	28:42	-14	26

Last Results with these Odds

Houston Dash - the odds 3.94 are the expected chance of winning is 22.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bay FC
NWSL
14.08.26	Utah Royals - Bay FC	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	Chicago Stars - Bay FC	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Bay FC - Seattle Reign	2:3 ✺
29.07.26	Bay FC - NJ NY Gotham	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Houston Dash - Bay FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Houston Dash
NWSL
19.08.26	Houston Dash - Chicago Stars	5:0 ✺
16.08.26	North Carolina Courage - Houston Dash	2:3 ✺
08.08.26	Houston Dash - Kansas City Current	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Houston Dash - NJ NY Gotham	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Houston Dash - Bay FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
24.07.26	Houston Dash - Bay FC	1:0
02.08.25	Bay FC - Houston Dash	2:2
24.05.25	Houston Dash - Bay FC	2:2
02.11.24	Houston Dash - Bay FC	2:3
30.03.24	Bay FC - Houston Dash	2:3

Bay FC - Houston Dash: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide