Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Referee: Aldrich L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	Stan Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	NWSL+


	Seattle Reign		Bay FC

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.40	2.50
	2.32	3.35	2.55
	2.24	3.38	2.41
	2.44	3.68	2.58	Watch
	2.19	3.3	2.25
	2.39	3.36	2.52	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.11)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	2.49 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Reign
38.3%

Draw
26%

Bay FC
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Reign has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Bay FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Reign than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seattle Reign, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bay FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Seattle Reign - Bay FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Miller C. (G) 11. Huerta S. (C) 21. McClernon P. 22. Brown R. 23. Bugg J. 8. James-Turner A. 20. Meza S. 2. Mercado M. 17. Menti S. 5. Dahlien M. 30. Mondesir N.	29. Silkowitz J. (G) 31. Nighswonger J. 18. Anderson J. 2. Gilchrist H. 24. Moreau M. 8. Hutton C. 7. Huff T. 41. Bebar H. (C) 10. Girelli C. 9. Kundananji R. 27. Barry K.
Substitutes
24. Curry M. 19. Fishel M. 10. Fishlock J. 33. Hladek R. 25. Holmes S. 14. Mason E. 44. Milam E. (G) 13. Ratcliffe B. 12. Ward H.	19. Bailey D. 16. Collins S. 21. Cometti A. 23. Conti C. 30. Holzheier A. 11. Hubly K. 5. Lema K. 1. Miller C. (G) 17. Pfeiffer A.
Coaches
Harvey L.	Coates E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Huerta S. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Barry K. 🟨,
67', Barry K. ↓, Lema K. ↑,
67', Brown R. ↓, Curry M. ↑,
68', Menti S. ↓, Fishel M. ↑,
79', Mercado M. ↓, Fishlock J. ↑,
80', Huff T. ↓, Pfeiffer A. ↑,
81', Girelli C. ↓, Conti C. ↑,
88', Fishel M. 🟨,
89', Mondesir N. ↓, Ratcliffe B. ↑,
89', Dahlien M. ↓, Ward H. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Ratcliffe B. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Seattle Reign is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle Reign won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle Reign won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Seattle Reign W	27	12	4	11	33:32	1	40
14	Bay FC W	27	7	5	15	28:42	-14	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Reign
NWSL
06.09.26	Seattle Reign - San Diego Wave	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Seattle Reign - Houston Dash	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Kansas City Current - Seattle Reign	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Racing Louisville - Seattle Reign	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Seattle Reign - Chicago Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTLW
- Bay FC
NWSL
04.09.26	Bay FC - Kansas City Current	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Washington Spirit - Bay FC	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Bay FC - Houston Dash	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Utah Royals - Bay FC	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	Chicago Stars - Bay FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
01.08.26	Bay FC - Seattle Reign	2:3
10.10.25	Seattle Reign - Bay FC	1:1
26.04.25	Bay FC - Seattle Reign	1:1
29.09.24	Seattle Reign - Bay FC	0:1
14.04.24	Bay FC - Seattle Reign	3:2

Seattle Reign - Bay FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide