Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Samson Siasia Sports Stadium (Yenagoa)

Referee: Ayeni R. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Bayelsa United		Akwa United

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.65	7
	1.47	3.51	6.39
	1.49	3.61	7.11	Watch
	1.45	3.68	7.25
	1.46	3.65	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	6.95 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayelsa United
61.9%

Draw
25.1%

Akwa United
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

25.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

25.2%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayelsa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Akwa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayelsa United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akwa United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Bayelsa United - Akwa United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Godgift E. (G) 7. Abdullahi R. 23. Auwal S. 5. Biriduba G. (C) 10. Daniel S. 27. Emo J. 14. Jawad M. 29. Ogundare A. 12. Oladimeji H. 13. Wisdom M. 3. Yusuf I.	17. Acquah P. 9. Alaekwe C. 29. Ebedebiri E. 27. Essien U. 25. Etim C. 8. Kabir O. 3. Ndon W. 12. Oguntayo S. 19. Onunze P. 1. Otuyiga H. 15. Samuel M.
Substitutes
2. Amedu G. 28. Biweribo T. 9. Foluwa A. 18. Inikurogha O. 4. Loveday S. 20. Malik K. 21. Olisa E. 8. Yahaya I. 11. Yazid A.	34. Akala O. 35. Apollos F. 7. Bala R. 28. Ferinyaro L. 24. James E. 20. Madu C. 33. Ovunda D. (G)
Coaches
Bosso L.	Abdullahi U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Alaekwe C. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Auwal S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Essien U. 🟨,
52', Acquah P. ↓, Bala R. ↑,
52', Alaekwe C. ↓, Apollos F. ↑,
55', Samuel M. 🟨,
60', Samuel M. ↓, Madu C. ↑,
61', Abdullahi R. ↓, Yahaya I. ↑,
61', Emo J. ↓, Foluwa A. ↑,
71', Jawad M. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Yahaya I. ⚽,
83', Oguntayo S. ↓, Akala O. ↑,
88', Wisdom M. ↓, Amedu G. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Bayelsa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Akwa United is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akwa United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bayelsa is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bayelsa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bayelsa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayelsa United
Nigerian Premier League
08.12.24	Bayelsa United - Ikorodu City	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Bayelsa United - Niger Tornadoes	4:1 ✺
24.11.24	Shooting Stars - Bayelsa United	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Bayelsa United - Katsina United	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Rivers United - Bayelsa United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43.2 WWLTW
- Akwa United
Nigerian Premier League
09.12.24	Akwa United - Bendel Insurance	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Ikorodu City - Akwa United	4:1 ✺
27.11.24	Akwa United - Plateau United	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Akwa United - Nasarawa United	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Niger Tornadoes - Akwa United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
25.02.24	Akwa United - Bayelsa United	0:1
30.09.23	Bayelsa United - Akwa United	5:3

Bayelsa United - Akwa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide