Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion (Leverkusen)

Referee: Wildfeuer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	W-sport
Asia	W-Sport Asia
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	W-sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Molotov TV, W-Sport
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Luxembourg	W-Sport
Malaysia	Canal+
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Viaplay, W-Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN / App, W-Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	W-Sport
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
World	Onefootball


	Bayer 04 Leverkusen		SGS Essen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.45	6.3	Watch
	1.44	4.62	5.96	Watch
	1.37	4.4	6.93
	1.4	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)	4.49 ↓ (4.64)	6.42 ↓ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
65.5%

Draw
20.3%

SGS Essen
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.8%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

16.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer 04 Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

SGS Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer 04 Leverkusen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SGS Essen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen - SGS Essen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Moll A. (G) 10. Gonzalez E. 2. Ostermeier S. 24. Turanyi L. 18. Mickenhagen J. 19. Bender L. 6. Piljic K. 16. Zdebel S. 11. Kogel K. (C) 21. Fudalla V. 9. Kehrer C.	1. Sindermann K. (G) 26. Backer L. 18. Ostermeier L. (C) 15. Pucks L. 8. Furst V. 25. Platner P. 14. Van Belle S. 5. Flach P. 11. Elmazi L. 10. Kowalski N. 9. Maier R.
Substitutes
8. Bartz P. 3. Friedrich M. 22. Grant R. 13. Haim V. 17. Madl V. 35. Remien L. (G) 56. Vidal J. 5. Wenger C. 41. Wrigge A.	13. Berentzen M. 27. Buonarroti T. 23. Debitzki J. 31. Feldkamp J. 20. Kopp L. 24. Lucassen P. (G) 17. Muggenburg L. 28. Potsi K.
Coaches
Patzold R.	Wissmann J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Flach P. ↓, Berentzen M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Kowalski N. ⚽,
58', Fudalla V. ↓, Madl V. ↑,
63', Van Belle S. ↓, Feldkamp J. ↑,
63', Elmazi L. ↓, Potsi K. ↑,
68', Berentzen M. 🟨,
70', Maier R. 🟨,
74', Ostermeier S. 🟨,
75', Kogel K. 🟨,
80', Zdebel S. ↓, Grant R. ↑,
80', Kogel K. ↓, Haim V. ↑,
90+6', Kowalski N. ↓, Kopp L. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 1.

Bayer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SGS Essen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bayer is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer 04 Leverkusen Women
German DFB Pokal Women
16.11.25	Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2:1 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga Women
10.11.25	Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2:4 ✺
19.10.25	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- SGS Essen
German DFB Pokal Women
16.11.25	Turbine Potsdam - SGS Essen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
09.11.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - SGS Essen	1:1 ✺
05.11.25	SGS Essen - Werder Bremen	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Bayern Munich - SGS Essen	4:1 ✺
17.10.25	SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
08.02.25	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - SGS Essen	1:1
21.09.24	SGS Essen - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:2
24.03.24	SGS Essen - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
German DFB Pokal Women
05.03.24	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - SGS Essen	1:2
German Bundesliga Women
04.11.23	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - SGS Essen	0:0
15.04.23	SGS Essen - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
30.10.22	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - SGS Essen	6:0

Bayer 04 Leverkusen - SGS Essen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide