The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carl Zeiss Jena 8.9%
Draw 16.5%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 74.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.2%
19.1%
67.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.8%
18.5%
69.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carl Zeiss Jena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Carl Zeiss Jena - Bayer 04 Leverkusen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Janning J. (G) 16. Gora L. 8. Strasser F. S. 3. Ihlenburg T. (C) 20. Schmid S. 31. Juckel N. 6. Andersson N. 28. Reske E. 24. Jaron I. 17. Tietz R. 14. Heuschkel A.
34. Moll A. (G) 10. Gonzalez E. 8. Bartz P. 18. Mickenhagen J. 3. Friedrich M. (C) 2. Ostermeier S. 16. Zdebel S. 6. Piljic K. 17. Madl V. 9. Kehrer C. 21. Fudalla V.
Substitutes
23. Bonsu Kyerewaa A. J. 13. Etzold H. (G) 2. Fischer B. 25. Gentile N. 5. Haering S. 10. Julevic M. 30. Muhlemann E. 27. Mummert G. 7. Reuter M.
19. Bender L. 30. Daedelow I. 22. Grant R. 13. Haim V. 11. Kogel K. 35. Remien L. (G) 56. Vidal J. 37. Wamser C. 41. Wrigge A.
Coaches
Kastner F.
Patzold R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Madl V. ⚽, Fudalla V. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Kehrer C. ⚽, Mickenhagen J. (A),
28', Jaron I. ↓, Bonsu Kyerewaa A. J. ↑,
41', 1 - 2, Reske E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 3, Madl V. ⚽, Gonzalez E. (A),
54', Andersson N. 🟨,
56', Reske E. ↓, Haering S. ↑,
56', Gora L. ↓, Julevic M. ↑,
56', Heuschkel A. ↓, Muhlemann E. ↑,
58', 1 - 4, Fudalla V. ⚽,
63', Kehrer C. ↓, Haim V. ↑,
63', Bartz P. ↓, Bender L. ↑,
63', Fudalla V. ↓, Kogel K. ↑,
67', Tietz R. ↓, Gentile N. ↑,
71', Piljic K. ↓, Grant R. ↑,
73', Schmid S. 🟨,
81', Madl V. ↓, Wrigge A. ↑,
90', Zdebel S. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 4, Gentile N. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jena won 0.
Jena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Bayer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Jena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bayer is the obvious favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jena won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Jena won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).