The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bayern Munich 33.8%
Draw 24.8%
Arsenal LFC 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
26.3%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
26.4%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal LFC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal LFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.2%
8.3%
62.5%
Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Arsenal LFC will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal LFC: 45.7% โ 84.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Bayern (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal LFC will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Arsenal LFC (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Grohs M. (G) 7. Gwinn G. 4. Viggosdottir G. (C) 3. Ballisager S. 20. Kett F. 18. Tanikawa M. 31. Stanway G. 10. Dallmann L. 9. Damnjanovic J. 17. Buhl K. 11. Schuller L.
14. van Domselaar D. (G) 2. Fox E. 3. Wubben-Moy C. 7. Catley S. (C) 11. McCabe K. 9. Mead B. 21. Pelova V. 8. Caldentey M. 19. Foord C. 23. Russo A. 25. Blackstenius S.
Substitutes
27. Caruso A. 5. Eriksson M. 2. Gilles V. 21. Harder P. 38. Klink A. (G) 32. Mahmutovic E. (G) 19. Naschenweng K. 23. Padilla N. 14. Sehitler A. 30. Simon C. 33. Zahringer L.
28. Borbe A. (G) 5. Codina L. 32. Cooney-Cross K. 44. Harwood S. 24. Hinds T. 18. Kelly C. 12. Leonhardsen-Maanum F. 53. Liddiard A. (G) 22. Nighswonger J. 15. Smith O.
Coaches
Barcala J.
Slegers R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Fox E. ⚽, Mead B. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Caldentey M. ⚽, Blackstenius S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Damnjanovic J. ↓, Harder P. ↑,
59', Blackstenius S. ↓, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↑,
59', Foord C. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
62', Schuller L. ↓, Sehitler A. ↑,
62', Dallmann L. ↓, Caruso A. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Sehitler A. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
75', McCabe K. ↓, Hinds T. ↑,
75', Pelova V. ↓, Cooney-Cross K. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Harder P. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
82', Mead B. ↓, Smith O. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Viggosdottir G. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
Preview
Bayern has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Arsenal LFC is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Arsenal LFC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Bayern has had a series of home games.
Arsenal LFC could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).