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Bayern Munich vs Arsenal LFC Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, November 12, 2025)

Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 3

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	Disney+
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	ESPN 2, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	Disney+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Disney+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech-republic	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Estonia	Disney+
Finland	Disney+
France	Disney+
Greece	Disney+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	Disney+
Kazakhstan	Disney+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Disney+
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	TVC Deportes 2
Netherlands	Disney+
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Disney+
Portugal	Disney+
Romania	Disney+
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Disney+
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	Disney+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	Disney+, Suspilne Sport
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Bayern Munich		Arsenal LFC

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.8	2.3
	2.78	3.7	2.22
	2.79	3.84	2.25
	2.95	3.64	2.12	Watch
	2.59	3.8	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.45)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	2.25 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
33.8%

Draw
24.8%

Arsenal LFC
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.3%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

26.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal LFC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal LFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	8.3%	62.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Arsenal LFC will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal LFC: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Bayern (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal LFC will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Arsenal LFC (votes: 10 - 90.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grohs M. (G) 7. Gwinn G. 4. Viggosdottir G. (C) 3. Ballisager S. 20. Kett F. 18. Tanikawa M. 31. Stanway G. 10. Dallmann L. 9. Damnjanovic J. 17. Buhl K. 11. Schuller L.	14. van Domselaar D. (G) 2. Fox E. 3. Wubben-Moy C. 7. Catley S. (C) 11. McCabe K. 9. Mead B. 21. Pelova V. 8. Caldentey M. 19. Foord C. 23. Russo A. 25. Blackstenius S.
Substitutes
27. Caruso A. 5. Eriksson M. 2. Gilles V. 21. Harder P. 38. Klink A. (G) 32. Mahmutovic E. (G) 19. Naschenweng K. 23. Padilla N. 14. Sehitler A. 30. Simon C. 33. Zahringer L.	28. Borbe A. (G) 5. Codina L. 32. Cooney-Cross K. 44. Harwood S. 24. Hinds T. 18. Kelly C. 12. Leonhardsen-Maanum F. 53. Liddiard A. (G) 22. Nighswonger J. 15. Smith O.
Coaches
Barcala J.	Slegers R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Fox E. ⚽, Mead B. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Caldentey M. ⚽, Blackstenius S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Damnjanovic J. ↓, Harder P. ↑,
59', Blackstenius S. ↓, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↑,
59', Foord C. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
62', Schuller L. ↓, Sehitler A. ↑,
62', Dallmann L. ↓, Caruso A. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Sehitler A. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
75', McCabe K. ↓, Hinds T. ↑,
75', Pelova V. ↓, Cooney-Cross K. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Harder P. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
82', Mead B. ↓, Smith O. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Viggosdottir G. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),

Preview

Bayern has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Arsenal LFC is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arsenal LFC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bayern has had a series of home games.

Arsenal LFC could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bayern Munich Women
German Bundesliga Women
07.11.25	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
04.11.25	Nürnberg - Bayern Munich	0:6 ✺
01.11.25	Bayern Munich - SGS Essen	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	Bayern Munich - Köln	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
16.10.25	Bayern Munich - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Arsenal LFC
English WSL
08.11.25	Arsenal LFC - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Leicester City - Arsenal LFC	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
16.10.25	Benfica - Arsenal LFC	0:2 ✺
English WSL
12.10.25	Arsenal LFC - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
07.10.25	Arsenal LFC - Lyon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
18.12.24	Arsenal LFC - Bayern Munich	3:2
09.10.24	Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC	5:2
29.03.23	Arsenal LFC - Bayern Munich	2:0
21.03.23	Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC	1:0
Club Friendly Women
28.07.19	Arsenal LFC - Bayern Munich	0:1

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