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Arsenal LFC - Chelsea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Champions League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday
  • Location: Emirates Stadium (London)
  • Referee: Pesu A. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Arsenal LFC Chelsea
    Arsenal LFC Chelsea
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 1.91 3.7 3.5
    betsson 1.85 3.7 3.6
    Bet_in_Asia 1.96 3.84 3.42
    GGBet 1.87 4.01 3.59 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 1.85 3.4 3.25
    BetNow 1.88 3.74 3.72
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.89 ↓
    (2.07)    		 3.73 ↓
    (3.82)    		 3.51 ↑
    (3.07)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Arsenal LFC
    49%    		Draw
    24.8%    		Chelsea
    26.3%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    45.1% 24.5% 30.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    47.2% 23.4% 29%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    81.8% 9.1% 9.1%

    Arsenal LFC - Chelsea Predictions

  • Users Predictions: Arsenal LFC will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    28. GermanyBorbe A. (G)
      2. USAFox E.
      3. EnglandWubben-Moy C.
      5. SpainCodina L.
    11. IrelandMcCabe K.
      9. EnglandMead B.
    10. ScotlandLittle K. (C)
      8. SpainCaldentey M.
    23. EnglandRusso A.
    25. SwedenBlackstenius S.
    18. EnglandKelly C.
    		24. EnglandHampton H. (G)
    26. CanadaBuchanan K.
    16. USAGirma N.
      5. NetherlandsBuurman V.
    22. EnglandBronze L.
      8. ScotlandCuthbert E. (C)
    30. EnglandWalsh K.
      6. GermanyNusken S.
    17. FranceBaltimore S.
    12. USAThompson A.
    10. EnglandJames L.
    Substitutes
    44. EnglandHarwood S.
    24. EnglandHinds T.
    31. SwedenHolmberg S.
    12. NorwayLeonhardsen-Maanum F.
    21. NetherlandsPelova V.
    15. CanadaSmith O.
    14. Netherlandsvan Domselaar D. (G)
    13. CzechVotikova B. (G)
    		  2. AustraliaCarpenter E.
    19. SwedenKaneryd J.
    18. NetherlandsKaptein W.
      1. SwitzerlandPeng L. (G)
    32. EnglandPotter A.
    42. EnglandSarwie C.
    47. EnglandShooter L.
    38. JamaicaSpencer R. (G)
    43. EnglandStorey G.
    Coaches
         NetherlandsSlegers R.
    		     FranceBompastor S.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 0)
    • 23', 1 - 0, Blackstenius S. ⚽, McCabe K. (A),
    • 28', James L. 🟨,
    • 32', 2 - 0, Kelly C. ⚽, Mead B. (A),
    • 35', Codina L. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 46', Codina L. ↓, Hinds T. ↑,
    • 57', Girma N. ↓, Kaneryd J. ↑,
    • 60', Kelly C. ↓, Smith O. ↑,
    • 66', 2 - 1, James L. ⚽,
    • 76', 3 - 1, Russo A. ⚽, Blackstenius S. (A),
    • 78', Blackstenius S. ↓, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↑,
    • 78', Mead B. ↓, Holmberg S. ↑,
    • 83', Cuthbert E. ↓, Kaptein W. ↑,
    • 90+3', Caldentey M. ↓, Pelova V. ↑,

    Preview

  • First leg.
  • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 2.
  • In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
  • Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Chelsea has had a series of home games.
  • Arsenal LFC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal LFC won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.5:1.6).

    • Outrights of UEFA Champions League Women for now
    Arsenal W: 8.77% Chelsea W: 8.77%

    Standings

    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    5Arsenal W21103:214
    7Chelsea W21101:014

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Arsenal LFC
    English WSL
    21.03.26 Arsenal LFC - West Ham 5:0 ✺
    15.03.26 London City Lionesses - Arsenal LFC 0:2 ✺
    English FA Cup Women
    22.02.26 Arsenal LFC - Bristol City 3:0 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Women
    18.02.26 Arsenal LFC - Leuven 3:1 ✺
    11.02.26 Leuven - Arsenal LFC 0:4 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5
    WWWWW
    - Chelsea LFC
    English WSL
    21.03.26 London City Lionesses - Chelsea 1:1 ✺
    18.03.26 Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 ✺
    English League Cup Women
    15.03.26 Chelsea - Manchester United 2:0 ✺
    English FA Cup Women
    22.02.26 Chelsea - Manchester United 2:1 ET ✺
    English WSL
    15.02.26 Chelsea - Liverpool LFC 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7
    TWWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    English WSL
    24.01.26 Chelsea - Arsenal LFC 0:2
    08.11.25 Arsenal LFC - Chelsea 1:1
    26.01.25 Chelsea - Arsenal LFC 1:0
    12.10.24 Arsenal LFC - Chelsea 1:2
    English League Cup Women
    31.03.24 Arsenal LFC - Chelsea 1:0 ET
    English WSL
    15.03.24 Chelsea - Arsenal LFC 3:1
    10.12.23 Arsenal LFC - Chelsea 4:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Arsenal LFC
    English WSL
    17.10.26 Arsenal LFC - Birmingham City LFC ✺

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