Match Info

UEFA Champions League Women - League phase - Round 3

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 5h 21m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Uhlsport Park (Unterhaching) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Antoniou E. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	18:45	Disney+
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Austria	18:45	Disney+
Bolivia	13:45	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Disney+
Brazil	14:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:45	Disney+
Canada	13:45	OneSoccer
Colombia	12:45	ESPN 4
Croatia	18:45	Disney+
Cyprus	19:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	18:45	Disney+
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Ecuador	12:45	ESPN 4
Estonia	19:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Disney+
France	18:45	Disney+
Germany	18:45	ZDF SPORTextra
Greece	19:45	Disney+
Hungary	18:45	Disney+
Iceland	17:45	Disney+
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	18:45	Disney+
Kazakhstan	23:45	Disney+
Kenya	20:45	Gotv
Kosovo	18:45	Disney+
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	11:45	TVC Deportes
Netherlands	18:45	Disney+
Nigeria	18:45	SupeSport ESPN 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:45	Disney+
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 4
Peru	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	18:45	Disney+
Portugal	17:45	Disney+
Romania	19:45	Disney+
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	18:45	Disney+
South Africa	19:45	SupeSport ESPN 2
Spain	18:45	3Cat, Disney+, Esport3
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United Kingdom	17:45	Disney+
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	13:45	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter


	Bayern Munich		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.25
	1.47	4.33	4.80
	1.49	4.25	5.1
	1.52	4.48	5.55
	1.52	4.61	5.3	Watch
	1.45	4.35	5.4
	1.45	4.4	5.3
	1.49	4.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.85)	4.45 ↑ (3.6)	5.24 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
61.8%

Draw
20.7%

Real Madrid
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

24.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern Munich's performance.

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayern Munich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Bayern Munich - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Bayern arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Real Madrid is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Bayern is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Bayern in today's match, at odds of 1.49.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bayern has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Bayern against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayern Munich W	2	1	1	0	5:2	3	4
12	Real Madrid W	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2

Outrights of UEFA Champions League Women for now

Bayern Munich W: 6.99% Real Madrid W: 1.83%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bayern Munich Women
German Bundesliga Women
23.10.26	RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich	1:5 ✺
19.10.26	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	5:0 ✺
03.10.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
30.09.26	Benfica - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
22.09.26	Bayern Munich - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWT
- Real Madrid Women
Spanish Liga F Women
24.10.26	Real Madrid - Tenerife	3:2 ✺
17.10.26	Real Madrid - Espanyol	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	7:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
01.10.26	Manchester City - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
26.09.26	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Women
21.08.25	Bayern Munich - Real Madrid	4:1

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