Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 24

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: FC Bayern Campus (Munich)

Referee: Diekmann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	W-sport
Asia	W-Sport Asia
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Belgium	W-sport
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu
France	DAZN France, Molotov TV, W-Sport
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, ZDF Sportstudio
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Luxembourg	W-Sport
Malaysia	Canal+
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Viaplay, W-Sport
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN / App, W-Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	W-Sport
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
World	Onefootball


	Bayern Munich		TSG Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.17	6.75	10.5
	1.2	6.3	8.6	Watch
	1.23	6.68	9.25
	1.23	6.5	9.73	Watch
	1.2	5.75	9.5
	1.25	6.26	9.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.36)	6.37 ↑ (5.28)	9.43 ↑ (6.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
75.8%

Draw
14.4%

TSG Hoffenheim
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

17.6%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

17.1%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern Munich's performance.

TSG Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayern Munich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Bayern Munich - TSG Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Mahmutovic E. (G) 20. Kett F. 2. Gilles V. 5. Eriksson M. 19. Naschenweng K. 27. Caruso A. 31. Stanway G. (C) 23. Padilla N. 18. Tanikawa M. 28. Dunst B. 29. Imade E.	1. Dick L. (G) 9. Janssens J. 13. Douma W. 14. Doorn L. 5. Rankin J. 18. Ampoorter V. 6. Diehm V. (C) 19. Steiner M. 25. Van Dijk N. 17. Harsch F. 29. Cerci S.
Substitutes
15. Amani B. 3. Ballisager S. 17. Buhl K. 10. Dallmann L. 1. Grohs M. (G) 21. Harder P. 14. Sehitler A. 30. Simon C. 4. Viggosdottir G.	30. Bitzer N. 3. Byrnak E. 20. Gloning L. 26. Grimm J. 23. Hahn C. 7. Luyet N. 27. Schmid J. (G)
Coaches
Barcala J.	Virsinger M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Cerci S. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Cerci S. ⚽, Ampoorter V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gilles V. ↓, Viggosdottir G. ↑,
56', Rankin J. 🟨,
57', Tanikawa M. ↓, Harder P. ↑,
58', Dunst B. ↓, Buhl K. ↑,
60', Harsch F. ↓, Grimm J. ↑,
66', Padilla N. ↓, Dallmann L. ↑,
66', Naschenweng K. ↓, Simon C. ↑,
73', Van Dijk N. ↓, Hahn C. ↑,
73', Ampoorter V. ↓, Gloning L. ↑,
85', Steiner M. ↓, Luyet N. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Eriksson M. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: ) and 5).

Bayern is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League Women (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 5.

Bayern is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hoffenheim's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 54:15. (average 2.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich W	6	6	0	0	19:6	13	18
11	Hoffenheim W	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bayern Munich Women
UEFA Champions League Women
03.05.26	Barcelona - Bayern Munich	4:2 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
29.04.26	Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
25.04.26	Bayern Munich - Barcelona	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
22.04.26	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
06.04.26	Bayern Munich - SGS Essen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWTWW
- TSG Hoffenheim Women
German Bundesliga Women
27.04.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Köln	6:2 ✺
29.03.26	Freiburg - TSG Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - TSG Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	TSG Hoffenheim - SGS Essen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
23.11.25	TSG Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:5
German DFB Pokal Women
22.03.25	Bayern Munich - TSG Hoffenheim	3:2
German Bundesliga Women
09.02.25	TSG Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:3
23.09.24	Bayern Munich - TSG Hoffenheim	5:1
20.05.24	TSG Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:4
27.01.24	Bayern Munich - TSG Hoffenheim	1:0
12.05.23	Bayern Munich - TSG Hoffenheim	1:0

Bayern Munich - TSG Hoffenheim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide