Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 17

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Bayreuth		Aubstadt

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.4	2.15
	3	3.6	2.27
	2.34	3.61	2.57	Watch
	2.94	3.36	2.16
	2.42	3.6	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.34)	3.51 ↓ (3.61)	2.34 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
33.9%

Draw
26.4%

Aubstadt
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25.3%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayreuth's form might have worsened.

Aubstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Bayreuth - Aubstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Kraus L. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Feser I. (Pen),
30', 2 - 1, Scheder P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 2 - 2, Nickel M. ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, Sturm S. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayreuth won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bayreuth won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayreuth won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German Regionalliga Bayern
02.11.25	Nürnberg II - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Bayreuth - Augsburg II	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Unterhaching - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Bayreuth - Würzburger Kickers	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Vilzing - Bayreuth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTTL
- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
01.11.25	Aubstadt - Schwaben Augsburg	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Aubstadt	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Aubstadt - Bayern Munich II	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Eichstätt - Aubstadt	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Aubstadt - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
26.04.25	Bayreuth - Aubstadt	3:0
12.10.24	Aubstadt - Bayreuth	0:0
09.03.24	Aubstadt - Bayreuth	2:2
29.08.23	Bayreuth - Aubstadt	2:2
13.11.21	Bayreuth - Aubstadt	2:0
27.07.21	Aubstadt - Bayreuth	1:2
14.09.19	Bayreuth - Aubstadt	2:2

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