Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 12

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Vilzing		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.55	3
	2.13	3.7	3.08
	2.09	3.54	2.96
	2.08	3.55	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.14)	3.59 ↓ (3.65)	3.01 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilzing
43.9%

Draw
25.6%

Bayreuth
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

24.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilzing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilzing than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+3%)

Vilzing - Bayreuth Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Bell J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

Recent performances by Vilzing have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayreuth's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bayreuth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vilzing could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vilzing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vilzing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Vilzing - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.69%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DJK Vilzing
German Regionalliga Bayern
27.09.25	Eichstätt - Vilzing	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Vilzing - Bayern Munich II	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Vilzing	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Vilzing - Illertissen	0:1 ✺
05.09.25	Nürnberg II - Vilzing	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLLW
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German Regionalliga Bayern
26.09.25	Bayreuth - Wacker Burghausen	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Memmingen - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Bayreuth - Eichstätt	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Bayreuth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
29.03.25	Bayreuth - Vilzing	2:4
21.09.24	Vilzing - Bayreuth	2:2
04.11.23	Bayreuth - Vilzing	0:0
29.07.23	Vilzing - Bayreuth	2:1

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