Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 16

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Aubstadt		Schwaben Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.65	3.2
	1.58	3.89	4.95	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.47
	2.08	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.58)	3.66 ↓ (3.89)	3.71 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubstadt
49.5%

Draw
25.4%

Schwaben Augsburg
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.2%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aubstadt's form might have worsened.

Schwaben Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Schwaben Augsburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aubstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schwaben Augsburg than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Schwaben Augsburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aubstadt - Schwaben Augsburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Sodji M. ⚽,
78', Grimm M. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Sodji M. (Own goal),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Aubstadt has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Schwaben Augsburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Aubstadt is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aubstadt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Aubstadt won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
25.10.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Aubstadt	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Aubstadt - Bayern Munich II	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Eichstätt - Aubstadt	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Aubstadt - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Buchbach - Aubstadt	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTTW
- TSV Schwaben Augsburg
German Regionalliga Bayern
25.10.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Vilzing	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Ansbach - Schwaben Augsburg	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Augsburg II	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Wacker Burghausen - Schwaben Augsburg	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Unterhaching	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
23.02.25	Aubstadt - Schwaben Augsburg	2:3
17.08.24	Schwaben Augsburg - Aubstadt	0:2

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