Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 34

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion (Bayreuth)

Referee: Sather A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Bayreuth		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.1
	3	3.5	2.2
	2.95	3.4	2.2
	3.05	3.74	2.28
	3	3.3	2.1
	2.94	3.64	2.17	Watch
	3	3.35	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.55)	3.48 ↑ (3.34)	2.17 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
30.7%

Draw
26.6%

Duisburg
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

25.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duisburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Bayreuth - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bayreuth will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Duisburg will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayreuth: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bayreuth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Duisburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bayreuth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
22.04.23	1860 München - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Bayreuth - Hallescher	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Verl - Bayreuth	4:1 ✺
31.03.23	Bayreuth - Meppen	3:0 ✺
25.03.23	Dynamo Dresden - Bayreuth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLLWW
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
25.04.23	Duisburg - Elversberg	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Duisburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
17.04.23	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Duisburg - Borussia Dortmund II	0:5 ✺
24.03.23	Hallescher - Duisburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
05.11.22	Duisburg - Bayreuth	1:1

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