Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 30

Date: 31 March 2023, Friday

Location: Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion (Bayreuth)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Bayreuth		Meppen

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.4
	2.6	3.5	2.45
	2.38	3.6	2.55
	2.64	3.76	2.58
	2.6	3.25	2.4
	2.53	3.62	2.48	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.1)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	2.47 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
36.5%

Draw
26.2%

Meppen
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

25.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayreuth's form might have worsened.

Meppen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Meppen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayreuth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Meppen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Bayreuth - Meppen Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bayreuth will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Meppen will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Meppen: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bayreuth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
25.03.23	Dynamo Dresden - Bayreuth	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Bayreuth - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
15.03.23	Saarbrücken - Bayreuth	5:0 ✺
11.03.23	Bayreuth - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3 ✺
05.03.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLLL
- SV Meppen
German 3 Bundesliga
25.03.23	Meppen - Erzgebirge Aue	3:2 ✺
17.03.23	Viktoria Köln - Meppen	3:1 ✺
14.03.23	Meppen - Verl	1:3 ✺
11.03.23	Elversberg - Meppen	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Meppen - Hallescher	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.22	Meppen - Bayreuth	0:1

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