Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 28

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Duisburg		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.15	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.16	3.6	3.17
	2.23	3.64	3.22
	2.15	3.5	2.8
	2.15	3.58	2.99	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.39)	3.57 ↑ (3.46)	3.07 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
43.4%

Draw
26.2%

Borussia Dortmund II
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.5%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.9%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.2%	10.5%	76.3%

Duisburg - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 5 - 13.2%). Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia Dortmund II: 62.8% – 89.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 15. Fleckstein T. 17. Knoll M. 4. Senger M. 39. Engin A. 10. Pledl T. 5. Castaneda S. 16. Michelbrink J. 11. Kolle N. 33. Ginczek D. 40. Esswein A.	35. Lotka M. (G) 2. Morey Bauza M. 18. Papadopoulos A. 15. Aidonis A. 37. Semic L. 6. Azhil A. 14. Eberwein M. 8. Roggow F. 20. Hettwer J. 27. Elongo-Yombo R. 10. Michel F.
Substitutes
9. Bakir A. 24. Braune M. (G) 36. Inanoglu K. 22. Kother T. 20. Muller R. 7. Pusch K. 23. Stierlin N. 32. Yavuz B. 13. Zenga E.	17. Gobel P. 48. Klussmann L. (G) 29. Nischalke J. 9. Otuali M. 23. Pfanne F. 13. Pudel B. 5. Suver M. 19. Tattermusch T.
Coaches
Schommers B.	Zimmermann J.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 0.

Recent matches Duisburg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borussia Dortmund II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Duisburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
23.02.24	Preußen Münster - Duisburg	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Verl - Duisburg	1:3 ✺
04.02.24	Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Ulm 1846 - Duisburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWWLT
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
24.02.24	Unterhaching - Borussia Dortmund II	3:4 ✺
17.02.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Verl	5:2 ✺
13.02.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Preußen Münster	2:3 ✺
09.02.24	Viktoria Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	1:3 ✺
02.02.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.09.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	1:0
08.04.23	Duisburg - Borussia Dortmund II	0:5
16.10.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	2:0
06.02.22	Duisburg - Borussia Dortmund II	1:3
29.08.21	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	4:1
Club Friendly
12.07.18	Duisburg - Borussia Dortmund II	3:0
German 3 Bundesliga
21.03.15	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	1:4

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