Match Info

3. Liga - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Hasmann J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Duisburg		Wehen Wiesbaden

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.75
	2.28	3.6	2.72
	2.33	3.64	2.94
	2.23	3.38	3.02	Watch
	2.29	3.54	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.33)	3.54 ↑ (3.53)	2.85 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
40.8%

Draw
26.4%

Wehen Wiesbaden
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

25.4%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Duisburg - Wehen Wiesbaden Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Wehen will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Duisburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 42. Hahn A. (C) 27. Coskun C. 6. Bulic R. 18. Meuer S. 23. Symalla J. 10. Viet C. 17. Gockan M. 9. Heike T.	16. Stritzel F. (G) 4. Mockenhaupt S. 27. Gillekens J. 15. Janitzek J. 5. May N. 37. Schleimer L. 11. Gozusirin T. 47. Suarez D. 20. Johansson R. 25. Agrafiotis N. 29. Kaya F. (C)
Substitutes
11. Dittgen M. 20. Jessen N. 26. Kruger F. 14. Noss C. 24. Paris J. (G) 38. Sadlek G. E. 40. Schlicke B. 22. Topken T. 30. Visser A.	44. Becker J. 8. Bogicevic D. 31. Brdar N. (G) 6. Fechner G. 28. Flotho M. 18. Greilinger F. 26. Lewald J. 22. Nejad M. 21. Wohlers O.
Coaches
Hirsch D.	Doring N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Suarez D. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Viet C. ⚽, Symalla J. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Coskun C. ⚽, Heike T. (A),
35', Kaya F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Suarez D. ↓, Fechner G. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Agrafiotis N. ⚽, May N. (A),
57', Agrafiotis N. 🟨,
58', May N. 🟨,
58', Symalla J. 🟨,
61', Heike T. ↓, Noss C. ↑,
61', Gockan M. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
63', Agrafiotis N. ↓, Flotho M. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Noss C. ⚽, Symalla J. (A),
73', Bitter J. 🟨,
75', Mockenhaupt S. ↓, Wohlers O. ↑,
76', Meuer S. ↓, Jessen N. ↑,
76', Kaya F. ↓, Bogicevic D. ↑,
79', Janitzek J. ↓, Lewald J. ↑,
83', Symalla J. ↓, Dittgen M. ↑,
90', Flotho M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 3.

Duisburg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wehen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Duisburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Wehen Wiesbaden - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.54%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Bochum - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Verl - Duisburg	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Duisburg - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	0:4 ✺
02.08.25	Duisburg - VfB Stuttgart II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWWW
- Wehen Wiesbaden
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
31.08.25	Schweinfurt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
27.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
22.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:4 ✺
09.08.25	Verl - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
22.04.23	Duisburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1
28.10.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg	1:3
29.01.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg	0:1
25.08.21	Duisburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:2
25.04.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg	0:3
12.12.20	Duisburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:1
11.03.17	Duisburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1

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