Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Bałtyk Koszalin		Gedania Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.30	2.30
	2.32	3.4	2.52
	2.68	3.64	2.18
	2.72	3.7	2.19	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.2
	2.51	3.69	2.43	Watch
	2.32	3.55	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.32)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	2.34 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bałtyk Koszalin
35.8%

Draw
25.6%

Gedania Gdańsk
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bałtyk Koszalin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Gedania Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bałtyk Koszalin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Bałtyk Koszalin - Gedania Gdańsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Krauze A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Dowgiallo S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 2 - 1, Stepnik M. ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, Hrybau N. ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 13th and 10th).

In recent outings, Bałtyk Koszalin has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Gedania has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bałtyk Koszalin may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Baltyk Koszalin	11	4	3	4	15:15	0	15
14	Gedania Gdansk	11	2	5	4	23:24	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bałtyk Koszalin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Września	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Bałtyk Koszalin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTWW
- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Kotwica Kórnik	6:1 ✺
05.09.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Luzino	0:4 ✺
28.08.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	4:3 ✺
23.08.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Lech Poznań 2	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Gedania Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLT

Upcoming Matches