Match Info

Date: 29 May 2021, Saturday


	Bałtyk Koszalin		Nielba Wągrowiec

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.7	2.1
	2.75	3.65	2.1
	2.94	3.95	2.21
	2.85	3.65	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.52)	3.74 ↑ (3.4)	2.14 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bałtyk Koszalin
32.5%

Draw
24.6%

Nielba Wągrowiec
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

19.4%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bałtyk Koszalin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Nielba Wągrowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nielba Wągrowiec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bałtyk Koszalin than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bałtyk Koszalin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nielba Wągrowiec than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nielba Wągrowiec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bałtyk Koszalin - Nielba Wągrowiec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Bałtyk Koszalin is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nielba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bałtyk Koszalin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bałtyk Koszalin have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bałtyk Koszalin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bałtyk Koszalin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.05.21	Jarota Jarocin - Bałtyk Koszalin	1:0 ✺
15.05.21	Unia Janikowo - Bałtyk Koszalin	0:0 ✺
08.05.21	Mieszko Gniezno - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:2 ✺
01.05.21	Sokół Kleczew - Bałtyk Koszalin	4:0 ✺
24.04.21	Bałtyk Koszalin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLL
- Nielba Wągrowiec
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.05.21	Sokół Kleczew - Nielba Wągrowiec	1:1
14.05.21	Nielba Wągrowiec - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:2 ✺
08.05.21	Górnik Konin - Nielba Wągrowiec	3:2 ✺
30.04.21	Chemik Police - Nielba Wągrowiec	2:6 ✺
24.04.21	Nielba Wągrowiec - Gryf Wejherowo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.11.20	Nielba Wągrowiec - Bałtyk Koszalin	1:1
24.08.19	Nielba Wągrowiec - Bałtyk Koszalin	1:2

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