Match Info

Super Lig - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Tupras Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Hungary	Sport 2
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Mexico	Claro Sports, Disney+, ESPN
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
South-america	ESPN 6 South
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	EuroLeague TV


	Beşiktaş		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.24	3.42	2.16
	3.22	3.66	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.73)	3.55 ↓ (3.67)	2.18 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
30.1%

Draw
26.6%

Fenerbahçe
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.7%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beşiktaş, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.1%	15.2%	72.7%

Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 57.5% – 87.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Fenerbahçe (3.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Fenerbahçe (1.59) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 18 - 90%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Destanoglu E. (G) 25. Sazdagi G. 3. Gabriel Paulista 53. Topcu E. 33. Yilmaz R. 4. Ndidi W. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 11. Under C. 27. Rafa Silva 18. Cerny V. 19. Toure E. B.	31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 22. Mercan L. 5. Yuksek I. 11. Alvarez E. 45. Nene D. 21. Asensio M. 9. Akturkoglu K. 19. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
9. Abraham T. 22. Bulut T. 35. Djalo T. 1. Gunok M. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 26. Jota Silva 39. Jurasek D. 7. Rashica M. 8. Ucan S. 14. Uduokhai F.	70. Aydin O. 3. Brown A. 13. Cetin T. (G) 10. Duran J. 7. Fred 18. Muldur M. 50. Rodrigo Becao 4. Soyuncu C. 53. Szymanski S. 94. Talisca
Coaches
Yalcin S.	Tedesco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Toure E. B. ⚽, Cerny V. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Topcu E. ⚽, Toure E. B. (A),
26', Kokcu O. 🟥,
27', Yalcin S. 🟥,
32', 2 - 1, Yuksek I. ⚽,
35', Semedo N. 🟨,
37', Under C. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
45+3', 2 - 2, Asensio M. ⚽, Nene D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nene D. ↓, Talisca ↑,
58', Cerny V. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
66', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
68', Alvarez E. 🟨,
72', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
78', Akturkoglu K. 🟨,
80', Mercan L. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
80', Asensio M. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Duran J. ⚽,
84', Duran J. 🟨,
86', Ndidi W. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
90+1', Topcu E. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beşiktaş won 3.

Beşiktaş has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fenerbahçe is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fenerbahçe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Tiknaz D. E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Kahveci I. C. (Ankle Injury) Tosun C. (Inactive) Yandas M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Rafa Silva (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beşiktaş won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Beşiktaş won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
26.10.25	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Konyaspor - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Beşiktaş - Gençlerbirliği	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLTW
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
27.10.25	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Stuttgart	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Nice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
04.05.25	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	0:1
07.12.24	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	1:0
27.04.24	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	2:1
09.12.23	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	1:3
02.04.23	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	2:4
02.10.22	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	0:0
08.05.22	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	1:1

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