Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kehlet J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now
Argentina	13:45	Disney+
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	18:45	VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	12:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	13:45	Disney+
China	00:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	20:45	Silk Universal
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
India	22:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	19:45	Sport 3
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Kazakhstan	22:45	Qazsport
Kosovo	18:45	Arena Premium 2
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	21:45	Medianet
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	10:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, VIX+, ViX Premium
Mongolia	00:45	Premier Sports 1
Myanmar	23:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	05:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	11:45	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 3
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	00:45	beIN Sports 3
South Africa	18:45	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	19:45	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	23:45	ON Plus
International	16:45	Sport 24


	Fenerbahçe		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.6
	2.6	3.6	2.65
	2.63	3.56	2.67
	2.63	3.64	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.2)	3.58 ↓ (3.67)	2.67 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
36.9%

Draw
27%

Stuttgart
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.1%

25.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fenerbahçe's form might have worsened.

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stuttgart's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stuttgart, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.8%	16.7%	30.6%

Fenerbahçe - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 19 - 52.8%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 36.5% – 69.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Stuttgart (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Stuttgart (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Stuttgart (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 3. Brown A. 11. Alvarez E. 5. Yuksek I. 21. Asensio M. 45. Nene D. 19. En Nesyri Y. 9. Akturkoglu K.	33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 14. Jaquez L. 24. Chabot J. 3. Hendriks R. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 27. Bouanani B. 8. Tomas T. 7. Mittelstadt M. 11. El Khannouss B.
Substitutes
70. Aydin O. 13. Cetin T. (G) 14. Demir Y. E. 10. Duran J. 1. Egribayat I. (G) 7. Fred 18. Muldur M. 4. Soyuncu C. 53. Szymanski S. 94. Talisca	30. Andres C. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 10. Fuhrich C. 44. Hellstern F. (G) 29. Jeltsch F. 45. Jovanovic L. 18. Leweling J. 28. Nartey N. 26. Undav D. 4. Vagnoman J. 23. Zagadou D.
Coaches
Tedesco D.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
27', Alvarez E. 🟨,
32', Stiller A. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. (Pen),
36', Tedesco D. 🟨,
45+4', Semedo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Bouanani B. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
77', Karazor A. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
77', Hendriks R. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
80', Nene D. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
82', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
82', Asensio M. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
85', Skriniar M. 🟨,
86', Tomas T. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
86', Jaquez L. ↓, Jeltsch F. ↑,
87', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
87', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Talisca ↑,
89', Duran J. 🟨,
90+8', Yuksek I. 🟨,
90+8', Undav D. 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Duran J. (Injury) Elmaz B. (Inactive) Fall A. (Inactive) Kahveci I. C. (Ankle Injury) Mercan L. (Inactive) Mor E. (Inactive) Rodrigo Becao (Inactive) Yandas M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Inactive) Darvich N. (Inactive) Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) Drljaca S. (Injury) Keitel Y. (Inactive) Silas (Ankle Injury) Stenzel P. (Inactive) Stergiou L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Leweling J. (Groin Injury) Tomas T. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
19.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Nice	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Antalyaspor	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Fenerbahçe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWWL
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Basel - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.09.25	Köln - Stuttgart	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches