Match Info

Super Lig - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	20:30	SuperSport 4
Argentina	15:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	Laola1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	15:30	Disney+
Canada	14:30	beIN Connect
Chile	14:30	Disney+
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 6, SportKlub 5
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	20:30	Laola1
Hong Kong	02:30	beIN Connect
Indonesia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Kosovo	20:30	ART Sport 6
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Connect
Mexico	12:30	Disney+
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	13:30	Disney+
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect
Romania	21:30	Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	21:30	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	20:30	SportKlub 5
South Africa	20:30	SuperSport Africa 2
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+


	Samsunspor		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.1	1.53	Watch
	5.25	4.20	1.55
	5.1	3.97	1.58	Watch
	5.8	4.2	1.61
	5.38	4.17	1.59
	5.55	4.05	1.6
	5.8	4.26	1.61	Watch
	4.8	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↑ (4.98)	4.12 ↓ (4.15)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
17.5%

Draw
22.8%

Fenerbahçe
59.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.9%

22.7%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

23%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kocuk O. (G) 2. Mendes J. 24. Borevkovic T. 34. Guarino G. 17. Tomasson L. 5. Yuksel C. 4. Watt E. 30. Jarju S. 20. Kayan Y. 11. Kilinc E. (C) 14. Kaya F.	31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 15. Ake N. 3. Brown A. 91. Kante N. 6. Guendouzi M. 11. Greenwood M. 17. Kahveci I. 70. Aydin O. 19. Muriqi V.
Substitutes
23. Albak E. 25. Bayazit B. (G) 70. Bulbul T. 22. Cift Y. E. 21. Degirmenci E. 3. Drapinski I. 8. Onur S. 42. Sekongo A. 77. Sousa A. 72. Tan M.	13. Cetin T. (G) 14. Demir Y. E. 28. Elmaz B. 34. Gunok M. (G) 9. Lukaku R. 22. Mercan L. 18. Muldur M. 45. Nene D. 21. Peprah K. 5. Yuksek I.
Coaches
Fink T.	Kartal I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Muriqi V. ⚽, Aydin O. (A),
16', Kaya F. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
25', Fink T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Borevkovic T. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Aydin O. ⚽, Kahveci I. (A),
64', Muriqi V. ↓, Lukaku R. ↑,
64', Greenwood M. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
66', Kayan Y. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
70', Lukaku R. 🟨,
78', Kahveci I. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
86', Aydin O. ↓, Mercan L. ↑,
86', Guendouzi M. ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
86', Yuksel C. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
86', Jarju S. ↓, Bulbul T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Samsunspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Samsunspor has had a series of away games.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Samsunspor: Assoumou J. (Inactive) Cift Y. E. (Inactive) Coulibaly T. (Inactive) Drapinski I. (Inactive) Tavsan E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Akturkoglu K. (Concussion) Asensio M. (Muscle Injury) Gunok M. (Muscle Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Samsunspor: Makoumbou A. (Inactive) Marius (Inactive) Sousa A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Soyuncu C. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Fenerbahce	9	5	1	3	23:8	15	16
17	Samsunspor	9	1	1	7	8:21	-13	4

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Fenerbahce: 19.34%

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.44%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
22.08.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Samsunspor	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Samsunspor - Göztepe	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Westerlo - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	AEK Athens - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	RAAL La Louvière - Samsunspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWWT
- Fenerbahçe
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Lyon - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Konyaspor	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Lyon	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
15.08.26	Gençlerbirliği - Fenerbahçe	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Sturm Graz - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
08.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	3:2
Turkish Super Cup
06.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	2:0
Turkish Super League
05.10.25	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	0:0
16.03.25	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	0:0
20.10.24	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	2:2
21.01.24	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	1:1
21.08.23	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2

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