Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday


	Beaconsfield Town		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.9
	3.2	3.75	1.9	Watch
	2.96	4.3	1.97
	2.96	4.3	1.97
	3.44	3.44	1.92
	3.2	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.56)	3.86 ↑ (3.55)	1.93 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beaconsfield Town
28.9%

Draw
23.7%

Chesham United
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

25.6%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

24.8%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beaconsfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Beaconsfield Town - Chesham United Predictions

Users Predictions: Chesham United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beaconsfield won 1.

Beaconsfield is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chesham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chesham will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Beaconsfield won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Beaconsfield won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beaconsfield Town
English Southern League South Division
23.12.23	Tiverton Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Beaconsfield Town - Hungerford Town	3:3 ✺
09.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Beaconsfield Town	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Beaconsfield Town - Totton	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Bath City - Beaconsfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTTLL
- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
23.12.23	Chesham United - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Plymouth Parkway - Chesham United	4:0 ✺
05.12.23	Chesham United - Tiverton Town	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Totton - Chesham United	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Chesham United - Basingstoke Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.08.23	Chesham United - Beaconsfield Town	3:0
28.01.23	Beaconsfield Town - Chesham United	5:2
13.09.22	Chesham United - Beaconsfield Town	4:2
27.11.21	Beaconsfield Town - Chesham United	2:2
26.10.21	Chesham United - Beaconsfield Town	2:2
11.01.20	Chesham United - Beaconsfield Town	3:0
13.08.19	Beaconsfield Town - Chesham United	1:3

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