Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Chesham United		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.41	5.37	5.61
	1.41	5.37	5.61
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.38	4.7	6.1
	1.4	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	4.82 ↑ (4.6)	5.72 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
65%

Draw
19%

Dorchester Town
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

19.7%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

18.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Chesham United - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 5.

Chesham is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dorchester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chesham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Chesham won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 40-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
16.12.23	Plymouth Parkway - Chesham United	4:0 ✺
05.12.23	Chesham United - Tiverton Town	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Totton - Chesham United	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Chesham United - Basingstoke Town	2:0 ✺
21.11.23	Chesham United - Sholing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTWW
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
16.12.23	Dorchester Town - Walton & Hersham	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Salisbury - Dorchester Town	3:2 ✺
14.11.23	Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.08.23	Dorchester Town - Chesham United	0:2
07.04.23	Chesham United - Dorchester Town	2:0
03.12.22	Dorchester Town - Chesham United	1:3
22.01.22	Dorchester Town - Chesham United	1:2
16.10.21	Chesham United - Dorchester Town	5:1
23.11.19	Chesham United - Dorchester Town	6:3
19.01.19	Chesham United - Dorchester Town	0:0

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