Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Beasain		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	2.05	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2	2.9	3.75
	1.94	3.1	3.82
	1.83	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.61)	3.12 ↓ (3.51)	3.92 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
47.6%

Draw
29.2%

Náxara
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beasain's form might have worsened.

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náxara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beasain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náxara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Beasain - Náxara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beasain (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Gil Garcia M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Pita M. 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Beasain will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.12.25	Zaragoza B - Beasain	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Beasain - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Alavés B - Beasain	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Beasain - Alfaro	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Gernika - Beasain	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLTT
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.12.25	Náxara - Real Unión de Irun	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Alavés B - Náxara	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Náxara - Ejea	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Tudelano - Náxara	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Amorebieta - Náxara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWTLT

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