Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Gernika		Beasain

	1	X	2
	2	2.98	3.6
	1.95	3.29	3.71	Watch
	2.14	3.23	3.44
	2.05	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.97)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	3.6 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
45.1%

Draw
29.4%

Beasain
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Beasain have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Gernika - Beasain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Gernika is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Beasain has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Beasain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gernika could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gernika won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.11.25	Tudelano - Gernika	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Gernika - Ebro	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gernika	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Gernika - Ejea	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Alavés B - Gernika	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWTWW
- SD Beasain
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.11.25	Beasain - Sestao	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Utebo - Beasain	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Beasain - Basconia	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Mutilvera - Beasain	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Beasain - Eibar B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.04.23	Beasain - Gernika	3:2
11.12.22	Gernika - Beasain	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
27.02.21	Gernika - Beasain	0:0

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