Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Beasain		Leioa

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2.17	2.7	3.75
	2.25	2.5	3.94
	2.18	2.72	3.82	Watch
	2.13	2.86	3.79
	2.17	2.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.93)	2.74 ↓ (3.4)	3.71 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
42%

Draw
33.4%

Leioa
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

25.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beasain's form might have worsened.

Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beasain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Beasain - Leioa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Bengoetxea A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Beasain is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Leioa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Beasain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Beasain will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beasain won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Beasain won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.05.25	Beasain - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Beasain - Derio	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Santurtzi - Beasain	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Beasain - Pasaia	4:0 ✺
23.03.25	San Ignacio - Beasain	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
10.05.25	Eibar C - Leioa	2:5 ✺
03.05.25	Leioa - Touring KE	3:2 ✺
26.04.25	Deusto - Leioa	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Leioa - Durango	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Leioa - Derio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
08.03.25	Leioa - Beasain	1:1
26.10.24	Beasain - Leioa	0:1
14.01.24	Leioa - Beasain	2:0
30.04.22	Leioa - Beasain	3:3
19.12.21	Beasain - Leioa	2:1

Beasain - Leioa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide