Match Info

Date: 9 January 2022, Sunday


	Beasain		Tolosa

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.3	4.4	6.25
	1.32	4.3	7.2
	1.31	4.56	7.83
	1.29	4.95	9.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.54)	4.56 ↑ (3.37)	7.52 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
68.4%

Draw
19.6%

Tolosa
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

15.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beasain's performance.

Tolosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tolosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-34.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beasain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolosa than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tolosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beasain - Tolosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Beasain is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tolosa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Beasain is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Beasain won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Beasain won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.12.21	Beasain - Leioa	2:1 ✺
12.12.21	Urduliz - Beasain	0:2 ✺
08.12.21	Beasain - Anaitasuna	4:0 ✺
04.12.21	Durango - Beasain	1:1 ✺
27.11.21	Beasain - Basconia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWTL
- Tolosa FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.12.21	Santutxu - Tolosa	2:3 ✺
11.12.21	Tolosa - Deusto	0:3 ✺
08.12.21	Lagun Onak - Tolosa	2:1 ✺
04.12.21	Tolosa - Vitoria	3:2 ✺
27.11.21	Amurrio - Tolosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.11.19	Beasain - Tolosa	0:0

Beasain - Tolosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide