Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Becerril		Atlético Tordesillas

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.05	1.82
	1.14	7.90	12.54	Watch
	3.88	3.31	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (4.15)	4.75 ↑ (3.3)	5.44 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Becerril
44.8%

Draw
29.5%

Atlético Tordesillas
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

27.8%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

26.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Becerril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Becerril's performance.

Atlético Tordesillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Tordesillas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Becerril that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (+26.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Tordesillas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Becerril - Atlético Tordesillas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Lopez P. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Martin D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Becerril won 1.

Becerril is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tordesillas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tordesillas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tordesillas is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Becerril won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Becerril won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Becerril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.11.25	Numancia B - Becerril	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Becerril - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Unionistas B - Becerril	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Becerril - Guijuelo	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Leonesa B - Becerril	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWLL
- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
16.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Bembibre - Atlético Tordesillas	0:4 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.10.25	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
19.01.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Becerril	1:1
08.09.24	Becerril - Atlético Tordesillas	0:0
17.03.24	Becerril - Atlético Tordesillas	0:2
29.10.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Becerril	0:1
12.02.23	Becerril - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1
31.01.21	Becerril - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1
16.11.19	Atlético Tordesillas - Becerril	4:0

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