Match Info

National League North - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Southport

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.25
	2.68	3.4	2.35
	4.83	1.50	5.01	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.4
	2.67	3.24	2.34
	2.71	3.33	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.02)	3 ↓ (3.65)	2.79 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
32.1%

Draw
32.7%

Southport
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

25%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

24.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bedford Town's form might have worsened.

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bedford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bedford Town - Southport Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bedford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Siziba Z. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Sze C. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', 2 - 1, Siziba Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', 2 - 2, Gnahoua A. ⚽,
80', Mensah C. 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 18 and 20)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bedford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bedford has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bedford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Bedford: 2.14% Southport: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bedford	10	5	1	4	14:14	0	16
20	Southport	10	2	3	5	13:20	-7	9

Last Results with these Odds

Southport - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.75%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English National League North
03.01.26	Bedford Town - Fylde	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Bedford Town - King`s Lynn Town	4:2 ✺
26.12.25	Leamington - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Bedford Town - Marine	1:1 ✺
16.12.25	Bedford Town - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTTL
- Southport
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Eastleigh - Southport	0:2 ✺
English National League North
03.01.26	Southport - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Southport - Curzon Ashton	2:4 ✺
26.12.25	Marine - Southport	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Southport - Worksop Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
16.08.25	Southport - Bedford Town	3:1

Upcoming Matches