Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh)


	Eastleigh		Southport

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.15
	2.26	3.04	3.30	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.25
	1.95	3.44	3.38
	2.14	3.33	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.49)	3.31 ↓ (4.05)	3.22 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
44.2%

Draw
27.5%

Southport
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

22.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

21.3%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastleigh's form might have worsened.

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastleigh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eastleigh - Southport Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eastleigh will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Lavelle T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, McKenzie M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 3.

Eastleigh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Southport is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Eastleigh is a strong favorite.

We predict that Eastleigh will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastleigh won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
03.01.26	Boston United - Eastleigh	1:2 ✺
30.12.25	Yeovil Town - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Eastleigh - Woking	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Gateshead - Eastleigh	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTTWW
- Southport
English National League North
03.01.26	Southport - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Southport - Curzon Ashton	2:4 ✺
26.12.25	Marine - Southport	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Southport - Worksop Town	1:1 ✺
16.12.25	Alfreton Town - Southport	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
17.12.16	Southport - Eastleigh	4:3
10.09.16	Eastleigh - Southport	1:1
28.11.15	Eastleigh - Southport	1:0
08.08.15	Southport - Eastleigh	0:4
10.02.15	Southport - Eastleigh	1:2
English FA Cup
07.12.14	Southport - Eastleigh	2:1
English National League
06.09.14	Eastleigh - Southport	2:1

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