Match Info

National League North - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Southport		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.48	3.2	2.62
	2.6	3.33	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3	2.63
	2.62	3.14	2.72
	2.66	3.1	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.41)	3.13 ↓ (3.22)	2.62 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
35.8%

Draw
29.3%

Scarborough Athletic
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Southport - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Sze C. (Penalty Awarded),
77', 1 - 1, Bennett R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Southport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Southport: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Scarborough	10	3	3	4	15:12	3	12
20	Southport	10	2	3	5	13:20	-7	9

Last Results with these Odds

Southport - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.9%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Scarborough Athletic - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.73%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
30.12.25	Southport - Curzon Ashton	2:4 ✺
26.12.25	Marine - Southport	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Southport - Worksop Town	1:1 ✺
16.12.25	Alfreton Town - Southport	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Southport - Leek Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTTW
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
30.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Peterborough Sports - Scarborough Athletic	0:4 ✺
16.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
30.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	2:0
22.03.25	Southport - Scarborough Athletic	0:1
19.10.24	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	1:2
20.02.24	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	0:1
05.09.23	Southport - Scarborough Athletic	3:1
25.03.23	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	0:1
03.12.22	Southport - Scarborough Athletic	1:1

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