Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Bedford Town		St Ives Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.1
	1.93	3.75	3.15
	1.94	4.18	3.15
	1.88	4.11	3.47
	1.92	3.78	3.19
	1.93	3.75	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.2)	3.88 ↑ (3.48)	3.2 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
47.8%

Draw
23.6%

St Ives Town
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.1%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bedford Town's performance.

St Ives Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Bedford Town - St Ives Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Glennon W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Gyamfi J. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 3, Wilson C. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

St Ives could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bedford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bedford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
02.11.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Bedford Town	0:3 ✺
19.10.24	Bedford Town - Barwell	1:3 ✺
15.10.24	Banbury United - Bedford Town	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Stamford - Bedford Town	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Bedford Town - Hendon	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWL
- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
02.11.24	St Ives Town - Redditch United	0:3 ✺
26.10.24	Sudbury Town - St Ives Town	0:0 ✺
22.10.24	Stamford - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Alvechurch - St Ives Town	0:1 ✺
14.10.24	St Ives Town - Biggleswade Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.04.23	St Ives Town - Bedford Town	2:0
12.11.22	Bedford Town - St Ives Town	1:3

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