Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 26

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Stamford		St Ives Town

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.3	2.15
	2.28	3.3	2.68
	2.33	3.49	2.71
	2.32	3.73	2.7	Watch
	2.15	3.1	2.88
	2.19	3.76	2.88
	2.37	3.4	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (3.06)	3.44 ↓ (3.57)	2.67 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stamford
38.9%

Draw
26.7%

St Ives Town
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.5%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stamford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stamford's performance.

St Ives Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St Ives Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stamford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St Ives Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stamford - St Ives Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St Ives (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Cashmore A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 0, Cooke J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

St Ives may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

St Ives is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stamford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stamford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Stamford: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Stamford	9	0	0	9	1:25	-24	0

Last Results with these Odds

St Ives Town - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.62%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
14.02.26	Stamford - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Quorn - Stamford	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Stamford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Stamford - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Stamford - Sudbury Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLTWW
- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.02.26	St Ives Town - Kettering Town	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	St Ives Town - Bury Town	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Banbury United - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	St Ives Town - Halesowen Town	0:4 ✺
03.01.26	St Ives Town - Royston Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
11.08.25	St Ives Town - Stamford	1:0
15.02.25	St Ives Town - Stamford	1:1
22.10.24	Stamford - St Ives Town	2:1
01.04.24	St Ives Town - Stamford	1:4
01.01.24	Stamford - St Ives Town	4:2

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