The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bedford Town 37%
Draw 26.6%
Barwell 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
26%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
26.9%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bedford Town's form might have worsened.
Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barwell's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bedford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barwell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bedford Town - Barwell Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Master D. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Mensah C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', 1 - 2, Hill E. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Moloney R. ⚽,
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 15).
Recent matches Bedford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Barwell is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Barwell have a series of home games.
Bedford will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Bedford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Bedford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
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