Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 1
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic


	Machida Zelvia		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.55	4.15	5.3	Watch
	1.51	4.27	6.1
	1.51	4.31	5.85	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.5
	1.53	4.3	6.29	Watch
	1.52	4.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)	4.13 ↑ (4.01)	5.72 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
60.9%

Draw
22.7%

Chengdu Rongcheng
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Machida Zelvia - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 50%). Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Morita T. (G) 6. Mochizuki H. 50. Okamura D. 5. Dresevic I. 11. Masuyama A. 23. Shirasaki R. 18. Shimoda H. (C) 26. Hayashi K. 49. Kuwayama K. 34. Tokumura F. 99. Yengi T.	32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 17. Wang Dongsheng 18. Han Pengfei 22. Li Y. 2. Hu H. (C) 16. Yang Ming-Yang 23. Liao Lisheng 37. Wellington Silva 10. Romulo 7. Wei Shihao 9. Felipe Silva
Substitutes
44. Arai Y. (G) 9. Fujio S. 31. Lavi N. 16. Mae H. 60. Mayaka C. 88. Nakamura H. 19. Nakayama Y. 10. Na Sang-Ho 20. Nishimura T. 22. Numata T. 7. Soma Y. 1. Tani K. (G)	45. Aizimaiti K. 19. Dong Y. 39. Gan Chao 58. Liao Rongxiang 48. Li Moyu 14. Ran Weifeng (G) 53. Wang Yueheng 20. Wang Ziming 29. Yimingkari M. 26. Yuan Mincheng
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Aloisi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Yengi T. ⚽, Hayashi K. (A),
10', Yang Ming-Yang 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Shirasaki R. ⚽, Tokumura F. (A),
32', 2 - 1, Wei Shihao ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 3 - 1, Yengi T. ⚽, Kuwayama K. (A),
61', Hu H. ↓, Gan Chao ↑,
62', Mochizuki H. ↓, Nakayama Y. ↑,
67', Okamura D. 🟨,
72', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
72', Kuwayama K. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
81', Liao Lisheng ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
81', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Yimingkari M. ↑,
87', Shimoda H. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
87', Hayashi K. ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Felipe Silva ⚽, Liao Rongxiang (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Machida Zelvia is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Chengdu Rongcheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Machida Zelvia is the team to beat.

We predict that Machida Zelvia will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
14.02.26	Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
09.12.25	Machida Zelvia - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL
- Chengdu Rongcheng
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Buriram United	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
09.12.25	Vissel Kobe - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
22.11.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTTTT

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